Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.3% vs Nosek 53.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 83.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 64.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hartman
Nosek
Last 5: Hartman 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Hartman
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Hartman
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (936)
55.1% (557)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.4% (154)
50.0% (4)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (54)
47.7% (111)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
47.4% (568)
52.3% (342)
Away
42.4% (576)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
47.2%
49.0%
P2
43.4%
53.8%
P3
43.8%
57.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |