Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 38.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 43.0% vs Nosek 51.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 69.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 68.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hartman
Nosek
Last 5: Hartman 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Hartman
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Hartman
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (413)
52.7% (355)
-11.8%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
28.6% (7)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
44.0% (25)
-5.1%
On power play, Hartman has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
46.2% (249)
52.8% (214)
Away
36.4% (228)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
45.4%
54.2%
P2
39.1%
53.1%
P3
40.2%
46.4%
Final 5 min
41.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |