Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.4%
Defensive zone
Newhook 56.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Newhook
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Johansen
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Newhook
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Newhook
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
49.4% (1,010)
-14.2%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
62.3% (236)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
67.2% (67)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Newhook is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Newhook shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Newhook
Johansen
Home
38.1% (189)
54.7% (655)
Away
31.5% (203)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Newhook
Johansen
P1
33.9%
52.2%
P2
36.3%
50.7%
P3
33.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
34.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |