Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.7% vs Johansen 54.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Copp
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Copp
Johansen
Last 7: Copp 5-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
1
Copp
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (136)
54.0% (1,251)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.9% (158)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (49)
55.6% (63)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Copp is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Copp shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Copp
Johansen
Home
58.2% (91)
56.3% (746)
Away
41.6% (101)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Copp
Johansen
P1
50.7%
54.0%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
47.3%
55.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |