Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coleman on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.4% vs Johansen 55.1% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 91.6%
Defensive zone
Coleman 55.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Coleman
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Coleman
Johansen
Last 8: Coleman 5-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
2
1
Coleman
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coleman
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (430)
55.9% (1,157)
-7.8%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
56.5% (237)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (96)
43.3% (67)
-0.6%
On power play, Johansen has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Coleman is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Coleman shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Coleman
Johansen
Home
47.5% (221)
55.8% (733)
Away
46.5% (316)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Coleman
Johansen
P1
46.7%
53.5%
P2
52.4%
55.9%
P3
42.1%
57.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
46.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |