Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Johansen 51.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Jenner
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Jenner
Johansen
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Jenner
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Jenner
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
51.5% (615)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
54.3% (140)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
46.3% (67)
+5.2%
On even strength, Jenner has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jenner is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Jenner shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Jenner
Johansen
Home
57.8% (249)
52.4% (389)
Away
52.9% (297)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Jenner
Johansen
P1
51.8%
53.4%
P2
58.7%
49.1%
P3
56.2%
51.5%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |