Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Johansen 54.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 13-1 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 74.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 70.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Brassard
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
1
(14 meetings)
13
1
Brassard
Johansen
Last 10: Brassard 9-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
0
Brassard
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
5
0
Brassard
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
54.0% (1,251)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
58.9% (158)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
55.6% (63)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brassard is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Brassard shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Brassard
Johansen
Home
53.7% (616)
56.3% (746)
Away
46.1% (609)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Brassard
Johansen
P1
47.2%
54.0%
P2
50.9%
53.8%
P3
51.5%
55.7%
OT
70.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |