Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Johansen 54.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Lindholm
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lindholm
Johansen
Last 5: Lindholm 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Lindholm
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Lindholm
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (494)
54.0% (1,251)
+0.0%
Power Play
66.3% (83)
58.9% (158)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (58)
55.6% (63)
-2.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Lindholm shoots right. Johansen is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Johansen
Home
60.2% (314)
56.3% (746)
Away
51.1% (321)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Lindholm
Johansen
P1
59.8%
54.0%
P2
53.9%
53.8%
P3
52.7%
55.7%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |