Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 51.9%
Neutral zone
Johansen 66.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Miller
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Miller
Johansen
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Miller
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Miller
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Miller
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
49.4% (1,010)
+6.1%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
62.3% (236)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
67.2% (67)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Miller
Johansen
Home
53.5% (578)
54.7% (655)
Away
54.7% (655)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Miller
Johansen
P1
58.3%
52.2%
P2
53.5%
50.7%
P3
50.1%
54.8%
OT
70.6%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |