Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Johansen 51.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 55.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 78.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 71.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Beagle
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Beagle
Johansen
Last 8: Beagle 6-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
6
0
Beagle
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Beagle
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
51.6% (1,127)
+6.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
53.6% (267)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
51.6% (244)
+1.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Beagle is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Beagle shoots right. Johansen is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Beagle
Johansen
Home
57.9% (183)
55.0% (809)
Away
55.2% (201)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Beagle
Johansen
P1
54.7%
50.7%
P2
62.1%
54.4%
P3
50.9%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |