Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Johansen 52.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.6%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 64.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Jankowski
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jankowski
Johansen
Last 5: Jankowski 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Jankowski
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
49.4% (1,010)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
62.3% (236)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
67.2% (67)
-28.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Jankowski shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Johansen
Home
45.3% (64)
54.7% (655)
Away
49.6% (115)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Jankowski
Johansen
P1
53.7%
52.2%
P2
45.8%
50.7%
P3
43.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |