Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Johansen 52.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 91.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 73.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Acciari
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Acciari
Johansen
Last 5: Acciari 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Acciari
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Acciari
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
51.9% (597)
+3.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.9% (133)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
54.3% (81)
-2.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Acciari shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Acciari
Johansen
Home
55.2% (306)
55.8% (387)
Away
53.7% (268)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Acciari
Johansen
P1
55.5%
50.0%
P2
54.3%
56.2%
P3
54.1%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |