Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.4%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Stastny wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.6% vs Johansen 55.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 24-11 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 54.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Stastny
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
24
(35 meetings)
11
24
Stastny
Johansen
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
10
Stastny
Johansen
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
5
Stastny
Johansen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
9
Stastny
Johansen
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,130)
55.9% (1,157)
-1.1%
Power Play
59.1% (235)
56.5% (237)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (150)
43.3% (67)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stastny is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (568).
Stastny shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johansen
Home
55.5% (803)
55.8% (733)
Away
54.2% (712)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Stastny
Johansen
P1
57.4%
53.5%
P2
52.5%
55.9%
P3
54.3%
57.2%
OT
69.6%
47.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |