Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.4% vs Johansen 52.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 65.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 69.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Stastny
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Stastny
Johansen
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
5
Stastny
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Stastny
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (859)
53.4% (845)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.9% (202)
58.8% (102)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (78)
44.7% (85)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stastny is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Stastny shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Stastny
Johansen
Home
56.9% (596)
53.2% (479)
Away
52.5% (543)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Stastny
Johansen
P1
53.9%
53.8%
P2
56.2%
53.9%
P3
54.4%
52.0%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |