Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.6% vs Johansen 55.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 77.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 79.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Zacha
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zacha
Johansen
Last 5: Zacha 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Zacha
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Zacha
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (643)
55.9% (1,157)
-12.0%
Power Play
48.9% (45)
56.5% (237)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
43.3% (67)
-5.5%
On even strength, Johansen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Zacha is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Zacha shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johansen
Home
44.6% (397)
55.8% (733)
Away
43.0% (328)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Zacha
Johansen
P1
43.5%
53.5%
P2
44.6%
55.9%
P3
43.8%
57.2%
OT
25.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |