Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 61.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 58.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Zacha
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zacha
Johansen
Last 5: Zacha 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (619)
54.7% (1,149)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
49.7% (191)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (64)
47.9% (121)
+6.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Zacha is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Zacha shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johansen
Home
50.8% (394)
52.5% (739)
Away
46.5% (318)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Zacha
Johansen
P1
48.5%
53.8%
P2
51.2%
55.8%
P3
47.6%
51.2%
OT
16.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
48.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |