Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Johansen 52.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 60.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Zacha
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Zacha
Johansen
Last 7: Zacha 6-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
6
0
Zacha
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Zacha
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
51.9% (597)
+2.0%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
57.9% (133)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
54.3% (81)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Zacha
Johansen
Home
56.7% (538)
55.8% (387)
Away
52.8% (530)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Zacha
Johansen
P1
52.6%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
56.2%
P3
56.8%
52.6%
OT
59.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |