Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Bennett 45.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 64.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 61.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Johansen
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Johansen
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Johansen
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
44.7% (772)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
56.9% (58)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
42.9% (28)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bennett
Home
55.8% (387)
48.5% (447)
Away
50.7% (424)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Johansen
Bennett
P1
50.0%
47.1%
P2
56.2%
45.8%
P3
52.6%
42.9%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |