Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 68.2%
Defensive zone
Bennett 68.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 67.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Johansen
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Johansen
Bennett
Last 10: Johansen 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
5
Johansen
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Johansen
Bennett
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
3
Johansen
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
46.8% (5,683)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
53.7% (555)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
41.8% (256)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Johansen
Bennett
Home
55.0% (7,001)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Johansen
Bennett
P1
53.2%
48.0%
P2
53.9%
46.5%
P3
52.8%
46.9%
OT
58.2%
52.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |