Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 46.7% vs Gagner 47.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Johansen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Johansen
Gagner
Last 5: Johansen 0-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Johansen
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Johansen
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Johansen
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
47.6% (599)
-1.9%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
47.7% (86)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
60.0% (5)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Johansen is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Johansen shoots right. Gagner is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gagner
Home
47.2% (108)
49.5% (331)
Away
43.0% (107)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Johansen
Gagner
P1
50.0%
47.7%
P2
48.7%
43.9%
P3
37.5%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
38.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |