Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 70.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 80.4%
Neutral zone
Gagner 78.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Johansen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
22
(37 meetings)
15
22
Johansen
Gagner
Last 10: Johansen 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
9
Johansen
Gagner
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
6
Johansen
Gagner
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
5
7
Johansen
Gagner
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
45.4% (4,699)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
51.5% (928)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
35.0% (226)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Johansen shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gagner
Home
55.0% (7,001)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Johansen
Gagner
P1
53.2%
44.6%
P2
53.9%
46.1%
P3
52.8%
47.3%
OT
58.2%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 06:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |