Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Gagner 52.4% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 54.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 75.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Johansen
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
76.5% (17)
-24.6%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
28.6% (7)
+29.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Johansen shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gagner
Home
55.8% (387)
75.0% (16)
Away
50.7% (424)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Johansen
Gagner
P1
50.0%
25.0%
P2
56.2%
64.3%
P3
52.6%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%