Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.2% vs Gagner 44.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 56.8%
Defensive zone
Gagner 58.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 58.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Johansen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Johansen
Gagner
Last 10: Johansen 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Johansen
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
4
Johansen
Gagner
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (447)
42.1% (575)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
55.3% (123)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
34.9% (43)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Johansen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Johansen shoots right. Gagner is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Johansen
Gagner
Home
54.9% (255)
45.6% (375)
Away
48.2% (274)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Johansen
Gagner
P1
51.7%
40.1%
P2
49.4%
42.2%
P3
51.8%
48.2%
OT
66.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |