Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Steel 49.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 50.8%
Defensive zone
Steel 62.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Johansen
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Johansen
Steel
Last 8: Johansen 3-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Johansen
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Johansen
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
0
Johansen
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
49.3% (383)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
59.1% (22)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
14.3% (7)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Johansen
Steel
Home
54.7% (655)
49.4% (180)
Away
50.6% (658)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Johansen
Steel
P1
52.2%
51.9%
P2
50.7%
43.8%
P3
54.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |