Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Steel 50.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 64.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 65.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 66.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Johansen
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Johansen
Steel
Last 10: Johansen 2-8 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
5
Johansen
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
7
Johansen
Steel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
3
Johansen
Steel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
50.6% (2,876)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
62.6% (179)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
37.4% (254)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Johansen
Steel
Home
55.0% (7,001)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Johansen
Steel
P1
53.2%
51.9%
P2
53.9%
49.5%
P3
52.8%
49.6%
OT
58.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |