Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 55.1% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 92.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 81.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Johansen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Johansen
Kuraly
Last 5: Johansen 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
0
Johansen
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,157)
46.0% (661)
+9.9%
Power Play
56.5% (237)
77.8% (9)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
47.1% (51)
-3.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Johansen shoots right. Kuraly is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Johansen
Kuraly
Home
55.8% (733)
47.2% (335)
Away
55.1% (728)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Johansen
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
47.1%
P2
55.9%
44.6%
P3
57.2%
48.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 17:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |