Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 95.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Johansen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Johansen
Kuraly
Last 10: Johansen 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
0
Johansen
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Johansen
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Johansen
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
49.2% (901)
+10.6%
Power Play
58.2% (196)
68.2% (22)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
49.8% (219)
+2.1%
On even strength, Johansen has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Johansen
Kuraly
Home
60.3% (436)
51.7% (603)
Away
58.0% (412)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Johansen
Kuraly
P1
61.3%
50.9%
P2
60.4%
49.5%
P3
56.0%
49.1%
OT
56.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |