Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 86.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Johansen
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Johansen
Kuraly
Last 10: Johansen 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
6
2
Johansen
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Johansen
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
6
Johansen
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
51.5% (5,141)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
56.0% (100)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
44.2% (1,086)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Johansen
Kuraly
Home
55.0% (7,001)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Johansen
Kuraly
P1
53.2%
51.1%
P2
53.9%
49.9%
P3
52.8%
50.0%
OT
58.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |