Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Johansen
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Johansen
Monahan
Last 9: Johansen 4-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Johansen
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Johansen
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
57.1% (871)
-5.2%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
53.1% (262)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
44.6% (139)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Johansen
Monahan
Home
55.8% (387)
55.3% (644)
Away
50.7% (424)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Johansen
Monahan
P1
50.0%
53.9%
P2
56.2%
55.3%
P3
52.6%
54.4%
OT
75.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
54.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |