Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 52 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 74-53 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 68.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Johansen
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
74
-
53
(127 meetings)
74
53
Johansen
Monahan
Last 10: Johansen 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
21
Johansen
Monahan
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
38
14
Johansen
Monahan
52 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
23
18
Johansen
Monahan
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
51.1% (11,356)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
53.7% (2,580)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
46.0% (766)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Johansen
Monahan
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Johansen
Monahan
P1
53.2%
50.9%
P2
53.9%
51.7%
P3
52.8%
51.0%
OT
58.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |