Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.4% vs Aho 52.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 51.2%
Defensive zone
Aho 59.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Johansen
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Johansen
Aho
Last 10: Johansen 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
5
Johansen
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
2
Johansen
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
0
Johansen
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (615)
52.4% (622)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.3% (140)
60.7% (28)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (67)
52.4% (42)
-6.1%
On power play, Aho has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Johansen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Johansen shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Johansen
Aho
Home
52.4% (389)
54.9% (359)
Away
50.8% (433)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Johansen
Aho
P1
53.4%
51.6%
P2
49.1%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |