Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Aho 52.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 52.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Johansen
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Johansen
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
0
Johansen
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Johansen
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
51.6% (819)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
58.4% (173)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
46.3% (67)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Johansen
Aho
Home
54.7% (655)
53.9% (568)
Away
50.6% (658)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Johansen
Aho
P1
52.2%
55.4%
P2
50.7%
51.2%
P3
54.8%
50.9%
OT
53.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |