Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Aho 51.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 76.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Johansen
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
15
(37 meetings)
22
15
Johansen
Aho
Last 10: Johansen 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
6
9
Johansen
Aho
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
5
Johansen
Aho
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
1
Johansen
Aho
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
50.1% (6,415)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
59.1% (1,297)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
46.0% (446)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Johansen
Aho
Home
55.0% (7,001)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Johansen
Aho
P1
53.2%
51.2%
P2
53.9%
52.1%
P3
52.8%
50.8%
OT
58.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |