Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johansen wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 55.1% vs Crosby 52.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Johansen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Johansen
Crosby
Last 7: Johansen 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Johansen
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,157)
52.5% (1,479)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.5% (237)
55.7% (397)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
47.5% (59)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Johansen is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,004).
Johansen shoots right. Crosby is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Johansen
Crosby
Home
55.8% (733)
54.9% (993)
Away
55.1% (728)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Johansen
Crosby
P1
53.5%
52.2%
P2
55.9%
53.2%
P3
57.2%
53.4%
OT
47.4%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | OT | 04:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |