Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 46 meetings). Johansen wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 53.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 70-49 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 53.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 75.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Johansen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
70
(119 meetings)
49
70
Johansen
Crosby
Last 10: Johansen 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
18
28
Johansen
Crosby
46 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
14
19
Johansen
Crosby
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
17
23
Johansen
Crosby
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (11,017)
52.8% (17,990)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.2% (2,163)
57.4% (4,733)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (978)
47.1% (765)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Johansen shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Johansen
Crosby
Home
55.0% (7,001)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
51.7% (7,158)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Johansen
Crosby
P1
53.2%
53.6%
P2
53.9%
53.9%
P3
52.8%
53.3%
OT
58.2%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |