Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 51.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 57.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Johansen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Johansen
Crosby
Last 7: Johansen 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Johansen
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Johansen
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (1,010)
50.8% (1,169)
-1.4%
Power Play
62.3% (236)
60.2% (261)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
67.2% (67)
45.0% (20)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Johansen shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Johansen
Crosby
Home
54.7% (655)
53.2% (726)
Away
50.6% (658)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Johansen
Crosby
P1
52.2%
51.3%
P2
50.7%
52.1%
P3
54.8%
54.1%
OT
53.6%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |