Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.9% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Johansen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansen
Stamkos
Last 8: Johansen 2-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Johansen
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Johansen
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Johansen
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (845)
54.1% (460)
-0.7%
Power Play
58.8% (102)
64.2% (106)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (85)
45.3% (106)
-0.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Johansen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Johansen shoots right. Stamkos is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Johansen
Stamkos
Home
53.2% (479)
58.2% (328)
Away
53.2% (553)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Johansen
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
57.5%
P2
53.9%
53.1%
P3
52.0%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |