Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 51.4% vs Stamkos 55.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Johansen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johansen
Stamkos
Last 5: Johansen 3-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (615)
56.5% (246)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.3% (140)
61.4% (101)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (67)
53.6% (69)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Johansen shoots right. Stamkos is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Johansen
Stamkos
Home
52.4% (389)
54.7% (170)
Away
50.8% (433)
58.9% (246)
By Period
Johansen
Stamkos
P1
53.4%
60.9%
P2
49.1%
59.2%
P3
51.5%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
67.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |