Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Johansen wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frederic shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 58.2% vs Frederic 43.0% (+25.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 59.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Johansen
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Johansen
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Johansen
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (625)
31.9% (69)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
66.7% (3)
-14.8%
On even strength, Johansen has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Johansen shoots right. Frederic is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Johansen
Frederic
Home
60.3% (436)
42.1% (19)
Away
58.0% (412)
30.2% (53)
By Period
Johansen
Frederic
P1
61.3%
32.1%
P2
60.4%
35.0%
P3
56.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
31.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |