Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.8% vs Frederic 46.5% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 64.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 60.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Johansen
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Johansen
Frederic
Last 5: Johansen 3-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
1
Johansen
Frederic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Johansen
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (597)
45.8% (262)
+6.1%
Power Play
57.9% (133)
57.1% (7)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (81)
36.4% (22)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Johansen shoots right. Frederic is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Johansen
Frederic
Home
55.8% (387)
44.1% (152)
Away
50.7% (424)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Johansen
Frederic
P1
50.0%
41.7%
P2
56.2%
48.9%
P3
52.6%
45.6%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Trent Frederic |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |