Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs McLeod 50.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.9%
Defensive zone
Groulx 74.4%
Neutral zone
Groulx 58.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Groulx
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Groulx
McLeod
Last 10: Groulx 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Groulx
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Groulx
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
51.3% (628)
-7.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
68.3% (41)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
30.6% (49)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Groulx has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Groulx
McLeod
Home
49.6% (129)
51.5% (394)
Away
39.0% (146)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Groulx
McLeod
P1
43.6%
51.5%
P2
45.0%
47.0%
P3
43.4%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Feb 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |