Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 44.1% vs McLeod 46.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 75.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 53.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Gaudreau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaudreau
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (315)
48.2% (587)
-2.2%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
49.3% (67)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (85)
39.5% (210)
-7.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Gaudreau shoots right. McLeod is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McLeod
Home
42.9% (217)
47.3% (450)
Away
42.6% (195)
44.9% (414)
By Period
Gaudreau
McLeod
P1
44.2%
52.6%
P2
44.4%
43.3%
P3
39.4%
43.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |