Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs McLeod 47.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 70.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 50.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 64.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
McBain
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McBain
McLeod
Last 7: McBain 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
49.2% (796)
+2.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
44.8% (87)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
43.3% (263)
-6.3%
On power play, McBain has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
McBain
McLeod
Home
52.2% (289)
49.2% (575)
Away
50.0% (316)
45.9% (571)
By Period
McBain
McLeod
P1
52.6%
52.8%
P2
53.6%
45.1%
P3
47.1%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jack McBain |