Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs McLeod 47.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 72.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 52.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 66.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Zibanejad
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zibanejad
McLeod
Last 7: Zibanejad 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
49.2% (796)
+4.2%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
44.8% (87)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
43.3% (263)
+1.4%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
McLeod
Home
49.0% (429)
49.2% (575)
Away
54.1% (521)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Zibanejad
McLeod
P1
53.0%
52.8%
P2
51.1%
45.1%
P3
51.0%
45.6%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |