Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs McLeod 52.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 55.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Geekie
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Geekie
McLeod
Last 8: Geekie 5-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
4
2
Geekie
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Geekie
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
52.9% (904)
-7.2%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
57.6% (59)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
49.0% (241)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Geekie
McLeod
Home
48.5% (165)
51.8% (612)
Away
45.0% (209)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Geekie
McLeod
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
45.1%
50.8%
P3
45.8%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |