Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Geekie wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs McLeod 49.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 51.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 65.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 58.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Geekie
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
14
(33 meetings)
19
14
Geekie
McLeod
Last 10: Geekie 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Geekie
McLeod
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
2
Geekie
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
8
4
Geekie
McLeod
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,307)
50.4% (3,345)
-1.6%
Power Play
45.7% (188)
51.0% (292)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
44.3% (635)
+1.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,923).
Geekie shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Geekie
McLeod
Home
50.0% (1,281)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
46.8% (1,343)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Geekie
McLeod
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
48.8%
48.4%
P3
47.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |