Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.6%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs McLeod 47.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 61.8%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 59.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Sundqvist
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sundqvist
McLeod
Last 5: Sundqvist 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Sundqvist
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
49.2% (796)
-2.4%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
44.8% (87)
+35.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
43.3% (263)
+0.2%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. McLeod is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
McLeod
Home
46.0% (189)
49.2% (575)
Away
47.8% (207)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Sundqvist
McLeod
P1
44.7%
52.8%
P2
47.6%
45.1%
P3
48.6%
45.6%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |