Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.1%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 56.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McLeod
Poehling
Last 6: McLeod 4-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
McLeod
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
49.8% (626)
-0.6%
Power Play
44.8% (87)
58.3% (12)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
38.2% (207)
+5.1%
On power play, Poehling has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
McLeod shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
49.2% (575)
47.3% (404)
Away
45.9% (571)
46.9% (441)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
52.8%
53.5%
P2
45.1%
39.4%
P3
45.6%
49.1%
OT
35.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |