Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.4%). McLeod wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 46.6% vs Poehling 46.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 62.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McLeod
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (587)
48.4% (440)
-0.2%
Power Play
49.3% (67)
50.0% (6)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (210)
39.4% (132)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (545).
McLeod shoots left. Poehling is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
47.3% (450)
48.2% (222)
Away
44.9% (414)
45.2% (356)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
52.6%
54.1%
P2
43.3%
40.5%
P3
43.6%
44.9%
OT
30.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |