Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 52.1% vs Poehling 50.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 60.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 55.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McLeod
Poehling
Last 9: McLeod 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (904)
52.6% (622)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.6% (59)
58.3% (12)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (241)
39.8% (103)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
McLeod shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
51.8% (612)
53.2% (393)
Away
52.9% (592)
48.3% (344)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
55.4%
50.9%
P2
50.8%
56.2%
P3
51.6%
46.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |